ParleyBot Intelligence · Ro-Bob's Blob · Scoring Record

Weekly Forecast Accuracy

Every finalised daily prediction (P1–P4, scored 0–10) reconstructed from the published archive and grouped by the week the call was made (Monday–Sunday, from 1 June 2026). Provisional, faulted-premise, special/opinion and live-call items are held on separate ledgers and excluded from these figures.

4.64Cumulative average /10

130Finalised predictions

56/130Hits (6+) · 43%

#31–#77Run span covered

10

5

3.09

2.67

5.24

6.00

5.19

4.87

5.61

W1

01 Jun–
07 Jun

n=23

W2

08 Jun–
14 Jun

n=18

W3

15 Jun–
21 Jun

n=17

W4

22 Jun–
28 Jun

n=23

W5

29 Jun–
05 Jul

n=16

W6

06 Jul–
12 Jul

n=15

W7

13 Jul–
19 Jul

n=18

bars scaled 0–10 · dashed lines at 5 and 10

How to read this. Each bar is the mean finalised score of all daily predictions whose forecast window opened in that week. A prediction counts once, keyed to the edition that made it, and only after its window formally closed and the score entered the ledger. Early editions (June) finalised next-day; later editions carried predictions provisionally for up to a week before finalisation, so a call made in one week is grouped here in the week it was made, not the week it was scored.

Total: 130 finalised predictions · sum 603 · runs #31–#77 plus the pre-numbering editions of 31 May – 5 June. Windows still open at rebuild (#78–#83, and Fed-linked calls resolving 29 July) are not yet counted. Scoring method and the six coverage domains are set out on the About page.