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The Ceasefire That Keeps Dying

The Ceasefire That Keeps Dying | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War Lebanon MOU Hormuz Khamenei Live Run #50 — Day 113 — Saturday 20 June 2026 The Ceasefire That Keeps Dying A Lebanon ceasefire was brokered Friday by the US, Qatar and Iran. By Saturday morning it was already being violated. Khamenei told state media Trump signed the MOU "out of desperation." The White House and Iran gave incompatible explanations for why talks were cancelled. And Brent crude crossed back above $80 on the uncertainty. The deal is two days old and already running on fumes. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun On Friday June 19, the United States, Qatar, and Iran brokered a new Lebanon ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. The agreement was scheduled to begin ...
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Day One. Talks Cancelled.

Day One. Talks Cancelled. | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War MOU Burgenstock Lebanon IRGC Live Run #49 — Day 112 — Friday 19 June 2026 Day One. Talks Cancelled. The 60-day negotiation window opened Thursday. On Friday morning — Day One — the Swiss foreign ministry announced that Burgenstock talks would not proceed as planned. Lebanon is the stated reason. The IRGC has covert cells in Iraq already striking US allies. And Mojtaba Khamenei approved the MOU while publicly recording his own dissent from it. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 13 Jun (Early) 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun The 60-day negotiation window began Thursday, June 18. Vance announced implementation had started. Mojtaba Khamenei issued a written authorisation. The UK Maritime Trade Operations advisory confirmed Hormuz ...
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There Is No Ceremony. There Was Never Going to Be One.

There Is No Ceremony. There Was Never Going to Be One. | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War MOU FOMC Burgenstock Live Run #48 — Day 111 — Thursday 18 June 2026 There Is No Ceremony. There Was Never Going to Be One. Iran's Foreign Ministry confirmed Wednesday night: no formal signing ceremony at Burgenstock. The MOU is already signed. The Fed held rates and stripped its easing bias. And Ghalibaf told state television Iran won the war. The deal is real, and almost nobody agrees on what it means. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 12 Jun 13 Jun (Early) 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun On Wednesday night Swiss time, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed what this column had been tracking as a structural probability since Run #44: there will be no formal signing ceremony at B...
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The Text Is Out. Here Is What It Actually Says.

The Text Is Out. Here Is What It Actually Says. | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War MOU Text Hormuz $300 Billion Live Run #47 — Day 110 — Wednesday 17 June 2026 The Text Is Out. Here Is What It Actually Says. The MOU has been published. Article 13 is not what the IRGC claimed it was. Article 6 promises $300 billion in Gulf-funded reconstruction — which no outlet has adequately covered. And Iranian oil tankers are already moving. Two days before signing, the deal is producing facts on the ground faster than the commentary can keep up. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 12 Jun 13 Jun (Early) 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun On Tuesday evening, Al-Arabiya published what it described as the full text of the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding. Bloomberg independently confirmed the contents with its own sourcing. The d...
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